Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca B vs Alcains

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Godinho G.

AI Match Summary

Alverca B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alverca B
15%
Draws
28%
Alcains
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alverca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcains haven't matched Alverca B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alverca B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%
Alcains Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca B Alcains
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.81 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Alverca B
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Alcains
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Godinho G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alcains Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca B 95 / 100
Alcains 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca B Alcains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Alcains conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Alcains lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca B VS Alcains
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca B

(Home)
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 7

Alcains

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)