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Alverca B vs Alcains

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Godinho G.

AI Match Summary

Alverca B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alverca B
6%
Draws
4%
Alcains
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alverca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Alcains haven't matched Alverca B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alverca B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%
Alcains Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca B Alcains
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Alverca B
0:2
Jan 5, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs Alcains
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Godinho G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alcains Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca B 95 / 100
Alcains 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca B Alcains

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Alcains conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Alcains registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alverca B VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca B

(Home)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
04 Apr
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Alcochetense
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
22 Mar
Oriental
1 : 2
Alverca B
Page 1 of 7

Alcains

(Away)
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
15 Mar
Marinhense
1 : 0
Alcains
09 Mar
Alcains
0 : 2
GD Peniche
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1O Elvas CAD26205141:1065
2Fatima26147530:1249
3Arronches Benfica26139427:1748
4GD Peniche26109731:2339
5Os Marialvas26910730:2837
6Mortagua FC26813523:2137
7Marinhense2699824:2136
8Alverca B2698928:2535
9SB Castelo Branco26810823:2134
10SC Pombal26881029:3432
11Uniao de Coimbra26671326:4425
12Sertanense26491323:3321
13Alcains26461617:3618
14Pero Pinheiro26261812:3912
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)