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Alverca B vs GD Fontinhas Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Pacheco J.

AI Match Summary

GD Fontinhas in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Fontinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alverca B
20%
Draws
46%
GD Fontinhas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: GD Fontinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca B have won more games recently than GD Fontinhas.
  • Win probability leans Alverca B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%
GD Fontinhas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca B GD Fontinhas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs GD Fontinhas
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Fontinhas vs Alverca B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

GD Fontinhas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca B 95 / 100
GD Fontinhas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca B GD Fontinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

GD Fontinhas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Alverca B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alverca B VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca B

(Home)
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 7

GD Fontinhas

(Away)
07 Apr
Sertanense
0 : 0
GD Fontinhas
30 Mar
Marinhense
3 : 1
GD Fontinhas
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Fontinhas
09 Mar
GD Fontinhas
0 : 0
Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santarem 26 17 4 5 52:23 55
2 SC Lusitania 26 15 6 5 40:22 51
3 Marinhense 26 15 5 6 43:26 50
4 Alverca B 26 11 6 9 34:19 39
5 Uniao de Coimbra 26 11 5 10 30:26 38
6 SB Castelo Branco 26 10 7 9 34:29 37
7 GD Peniche 26 11 4 11 28:39 37
8 Sertanense 26 10 7 9 26:25 37
9 Mortagua FC 26 10 7 9 30:36 37
10 GD Fontinhas 26 9 5 12 23:32 32
11 CD Rabo Peixe 26 8 6 12 30:34 28
12 Vitoria Sernache 26 5 10 11 17:30 25
13 CD Gouveia 26 5 6 15 35:48 21
14 Tomar 26 5 2 19 20:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)