Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca B vs O Elvas CAD

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Felipe Lima
21' Event
Nuca
22' Event
Felipe Lima

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Alverca B and O Elvas CAD finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Alverca B
15%
Draws
57%
O Elvas CAD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: O Elvas CAD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • O Elvas CAD haven't matched Alverca B's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 18%
O Elvas CAD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca B O Elvas CAD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Alverca B vs O Elvas CAD
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
O Elvas CAD vs Alverca B
2:3
Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
O Elvas CAD vs Alverca B
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alverca B vs O Elvas CAD
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca B Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Lima
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

O Elvas CAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuca
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca B 32 / 100
O Elvas CAD 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca B O Elvas CAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick O Elvas CAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Alverca B found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

O Elvas CAD let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Alverca B has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alverca B VS O Elvas CAD
2 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca B

(Home)
27 Sept
Alverca B
5 : 0
Fazendense
13 Sept
Naval 1893
1 : 0
Alverca B
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 6

O Elvas CAD

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Fazendense
1 : 2
O Elvas CAD
06 Sept
O Elvas CAD
9 : 0
Sao Roque
23 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 1
O Elvas CAD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)