Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estoril U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estoril U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alverca U19
20%
Draws
60%
Estoril U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estoril U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca U19 have won more games recently than Estoril U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Estoril U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca U19 Estoril U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.22 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19
2:4
Aug 12, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca U19 32 / 100
Estoril U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca U19 Estoril U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alverca U19 scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Estoril U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alverca U19 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
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Estoril U19

(Away)
25 May
Beira Mar U19
2 : 0
Estoril U19
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3
Belenenses U19
11 May
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2
SC Lusitania U19
27 Apr
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
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