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Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Teixeira L.

AI Match Summary

Mafra U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mafra U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alverca U19
20%
Draws
51%
Mafra U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mafra U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca U19 have won more games recently than Mafra U19.
  • Win probability leans Alverca U19's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Mafra U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca U19 Mafra U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Mafra U19
1:1
Aug 15, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Mafra U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Teixeira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca U19 86 / 100
Mafra U19 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca U19 Mafra U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mafra U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Alverca U19 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Alverca U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alverca U19 VS Mafra U19
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
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Mafra U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Santa Clara U19
7 : 0
Mafra U19
05 Sept
SC Farense U19
1 : 2
Mafra U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Mafra U19
08 Aug
Mafra U19
0 : 1
Oriental U19
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