Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alverca U19
35%
Draws
46%
Sacavenense U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sacavenense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca U19 have won more games recently than Sacavenense U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alverca U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca U19 Sacavenense U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Alverca U19
3:4
Aug 14, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:0
Jun 26, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Alverca U19
0:3
Jun 3, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19
4:3
Jan 25, 2020 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca U19 32 / 100
Sacavenense U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca U19 Sacavenense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sacavenense U19 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Alverca U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Alverca U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca U19 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
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Sacavenense U19

(Away)
21 May
Vilafranquense U19
1 : 1
Sacavenense U19
14 May
Sacavenense U19
0 : 1
Belenenses U19
07 May
Sacavenense U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
30 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 2
Sacavenense U19
23 Apr
Sacavenense U19
1 : 2
Nacional U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 FC Porto U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Braga U19 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Leixoes U19 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 3 3 0 0 13:1 9
2 Sporting CP U19 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Belenenses U19 3 1 0 2 3:13 3
4 Academica U19 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pacos Ferreira U19 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
2 Famalicao U19 8 3 4 1 12:10 13
3 Rio Ave U19 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
4 Vizela U19 8 3 1 4 12:17 10
5 Tondela U19 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alverca U19 10 8 2 0 34:9 26
2 Estoril U19 10 6 1 3 24:19 19
3 Vitoria Setubal U19 10 5 3 2 19:11 18
4 Sacavenense U19 10 5 1 4 30:13 16
5 Amora U19 10 2 1 7 18:42 7
6 Vilafranquense U19 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2020/2021 (Championship Group)