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Stadium Background

Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Alverca
40%
Draws
29%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Os Belenenses lately — more wins on the board than Alverca.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alverca here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Alverca Clean Sheet 20%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses
2:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Alverca
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Liga 3
Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca 32 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca CF Os Belenenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Alverca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca VS CF Os Belenenses
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%