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Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Alverca
15%
Draws
58%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CF Os Belenenses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CF Os Belenenses lately — more wins on the board than Alverca.
  • CF Os Belenenses are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alverca here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Alverca Clean Sheet 13%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.15 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses
2:1
Jul 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses
2:0
Mar 11, 2023 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Alverca
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Liga 3
Alverca vs CF Os Belenenses
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca 10 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Os Belenenses Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Alverca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca VS CF Os Belenenses
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0
Rio Ave
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2
Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1
Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Alverca
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
19 Sept
Beira Mar
0 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
13 Sept
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 0
Atletico CP
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
Lusitano GC
1 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
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