Sport Picks

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Alverca vs Uniao Almeirim

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F 2020/2021 FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Alverca
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Almeirim
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alverca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alverca lately — more wins on the board than Uniao Almeirim.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Alverca taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Alverca Clean Sheet 68%
Uniao Almeirim Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca Uniao Almeirim
Matches Played 28 23
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Uniao Almeirim vs Alverca
1:2
Mar 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Alverca vs Uniao Almeirim
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca 95 / 100
Uniao Almeirim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca Uniao Almeirim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Uniao Almeirim has conceded goals in 78% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alverca went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca

(Home)
17 Jul
Alverca
2 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
16 May
Famalicao
1 : 0
Alverca
10 May
Alverca
1 : 1
Estoril
02 May
FC Porto
1 : 0
Alverca
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Uniao Almeirim

(Away)
11 Apr
SC Lourinhanense
4 : 1
Uniao Almeirim
03 Apr
Uniao Almeirim
1 : 2
Alverca
31 Mar
1º Dezembro
2 : 0
Uniao Almeirim
14 Mar
Uniao Almeirim
0 : 0
Sacavenense
07 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Uniao Almeirim
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Torreense20153237:1048
2Alverca20152338:1047
3Santarem2096532:2433
4Caldas SC2093825:2530
5GS Loures2085719:2029
6Sintrense20901128:3227
7Sacavenense2058720:2323
8Pero Pinheiro2056910:1721
91º Dezembro2056917:2621
10Uniao Almeirim20431315:3015
11SC Lourinhanense20261219:4312
12Fatima00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)