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Alvorada vs Palmas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

1 - 2
FT
Palmas Logo

Palmas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 game between Alvorada and Palmas finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Alvorada
35%
Draws
30%
Palmas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Alvorada taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Palmas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%
Palmas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Palmas
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Alvorada vs Palmas
0:3
Apr 28, 2019 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Alvorada
1:0
Apr 21, 2019 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Palmas
1:2
Apr 15, 2008 Tocantinense
Palmas vs Alvorada
5:1
Mar 20, 2008 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Palmas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 83 / 100
Palmas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Palmas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alvorada scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Palmas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Alvorada stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS Palmas
2 Goals Scored 3
1.8 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
60% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

Palmas

(Away)
07 Mar
Palmas
2 : 5
Bela Vista-TO
21 Feb
Capital FC
1 : 1
Palmas
15 Feb
Palmas
0 : 1
Tocantinopolis
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
31 Jan
Araguaina
0 : 1
Palmas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)