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AlzanoCene vs Caravaggio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2013/2014 game between AlzanoCene and Caravaggio finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AlzanoCene
30%
Draws
29%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AlzanoCene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Caravaggio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on AlzanoCene taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AlzanoCene Clean Sheet 19%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlzanoCene Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2014 Serie D - Group B
AlzanoCene vs Caravaggio
1:1
Sep 1, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs AlzanoCene
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlzanoCene 67 / 100
Caravaggio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlzanoCene Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlzanoCene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlzanoCene scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Caravaggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AlzanoCene remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AlzanoCene

(Home)
18 May
Borgomanero
1 : 0
AlzanoCene
04 May
MapelloBonate
1 : 1
AlzanoCene
27 Apr
AlzanoCene
2 : 1
Pro Piacenza
17 Apr
Lecco
2 : 0
AlzanoCene
13 Apr
AlzanoCene
3 : 0
Seregno Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Caravaggio

(Away)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Piacenza 34 19 9 6 69:45 66
2 Olginatese 34 14 15 5 43:25 57
3 Piacenza 34 16 9 9 59:46 57
4 Seregno Calcio 34 15 11 8 54:46 56
5 Inveruno 34 15 10 9 65:43 55
6 Ponte San Pietro 34 14 11 9 44:41 53
7 Pro Sesto 34 14 10 10 38:32 52
8 Caravaggio 34 12 14 8 54:40 50
9 Lecco 34 12 14 8 50:43 50
10 Aurora Seriate 34 12 10 12 35:39 46
11 Legnago Salus 34 12 8 14 44:50 44
12 Castellana 34 12 6 16 39:45 42
13 MapelloBonate 34 11 6 17 44:56 39
14 AlzanoCene 34 8 12 14 32:44 36
15 Borgomanero 34 9 9 16 43:56 36
16 Gozzano 34 8 10 16 35:41 34
17 Darfo Boario 34 7 8 19 40:61 29
18 Sambonifacese 34 5 10 19 34:69 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2013/2014 (Play Out)