Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alzenau vs Hornau

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sitter L.
25' Event
Hofmann R.
57' Event
Sitter L.

AI Match Summary

Alzenau in this Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alzenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Alzenau
20%
Draws
10%
Hornau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alzenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Hornau haven't matched Alzenau's recent run of results.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Alzenau taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 11%
Hornau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzenau Hornau
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.86 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Hornau
3:1
Oct 13, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Hornau vs Alzenau
0:0
Jul 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Alzenau vs Hornau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alzenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Sitter L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garic L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Hornau Compare

Top Goalscorer Hofmann R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzenau 74 / 100
Hornau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzenau Hornau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alzenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hornau conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Alzenau found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Solid form: Alzenau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Hornau registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alzenau VS Hornau
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzenau

(Home)
26 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Alzenau
19 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 0
Baunatal
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 0
Hanauer SC
05 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 2
CSC 03 Kassel
Page 1 of 8

Hornau

(Away)
07 Jun
CSC 03 Kassel
3 : 1
Hornau
04 Jun
Hornau
3 : 5
CSC 03 Kassel
31 May
Hanau
4 : 1
Hornau
25 May
Hornau
2 : 2
Baunatal
17 May
Hunfelder
4 : 2
Hornau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernwald 36 20 10 6 77:35 70
2 Alzenau 36 19 10 7 91:46 67
3 Turk Gucu Friedberg 36 18 11 7 83:54 65
4 RW Walldorf 36 20 6 10 77:49 65
5 Stadtallendorf 36 18 6 12 64:47 60
6 Darmstadt U21 36 18 5 13 69:38 59
7 Baunatal 36 17 7 12 67:55 57
8 Hunfelder 36 16 7 13 63:59 55
9 Eddersheim 36 14 13 9 74:65 55
10 Waldgirmes 36 14 8 14 66:71 50
11 Weidenhausen 36 12 11 13 66:63 47
12 Hanauer SC 36 14 5 17 70:71 47
13 Hanau 36 13 7 16 56:71 45
14 VfB Marburg 36 12 8 16 47:59 44
15 Unter-Flockenbach 36 10 11 15 62:89 41
16 Wolfhagen 36 10 8 18 52:66 38
17 SV Steinbach 36 8 9 19 42:83 32
18 Hornau 36 6 10 20 55:92 28
19 TSV Steinbach Haiger II 36 4 6 26 41:109 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)