Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alzenau vs Urberach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2016/2017 game between Alzenau and Urberach finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alzenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alzenau
15%
Draws
0%
Urberach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alzenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alzenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alzenau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Alzenau have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Alzenau Clean Sheet 68%
Urberach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzenau Urberach
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.93 0.8
Goals Conceded 2 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2017 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Urberach
4:1
Oct 8, 2016 Oberliga Hessen
Urberach vs Alzenau
2:7
May 14, 2011 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Urberach
2:1
Oct 23, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Urberach vs Alzenau
2:2
Apr 13, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Alzenau vs Urberach
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzenau 95 / 100
Urberach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzenau Urberach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alzenau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urberach has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Urberach has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Alzenau scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Alzenau VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzenau

(Home)
12 Sept
Hadamar
3 : 0
Alzenau
09 Sept
Alzenau
2 : 0
Hanauer SC
05 Sept
Alzenau
0 : 2
CSC 03 Kassel
30 Aug
RW Walldorf
3 : 0
Alzenau
22 Aug
Alzenau
1 : 1
Hummetroth
Page 1 of 6

Urberach

(Away)
20 May
Urberach
0 : 2
Stadtallendorf
13 May
SV Steinbach
5 : 0
Urberach
06 May
Urberach
1 : 2
Ederbergland
22 Apr
Urberach
1 : 2
Kelsterbach
17 Apr
Alzenau
4 : 1
Urberach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hessen Dreieich 32 22 4 6 89:34 70
2 Stadtallendorf 32 22 3 7 83:46 69
3 RW Frankfurt 32 20 6 6 90:45 66
4 Alzenau 32 19 7 6 87:49 64
5 Fulda 32 16 10 6 66:35 58
6 Hadamar 32 16 6 10 63:48 54
7 Fulda-Lehnerz 32 13 10 9 59:54 49
8 Sportfreunde Seligenstadt 32 12 8 12 57:45 44
9 Baunatal 32 11 8 13 60:53 41
10 Vellmar 32 12 5 15 49:70 41
11 Lohfelden 32 10 11 11 49:52 41
12 Ederbergland 32 12 2 18 52:76 38
13 Viktoria Griesheim 32 11 5 16 40:60 38
14 SV Steinbach 32 10 6 16 62:94 36
15 SKV Darmstadt 32 7 2 23 41:87 23
16 Kelsterbach 32 6 4 22 39:77 21
17 Urberach 32 2 5 25 24:85 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Niedersachsen 2016/2017 (Promotion)