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Alzira vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Franco H.
42' Event
Castillo Ortega L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Alzira
15%
Draws
64%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • La Nucia have won more games recently than Alzira.
  • La Nucia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Alzira Clean Sheet 16%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzira La Nucia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 1 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs La Nucia
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Alzira
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
La Nucia vs Alzira
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alzira vs La Nucia
3:0
Jan 30, 2022 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
La Nucia vs Alzira
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Franco H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo Ortega L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzira 10 / 100
La Nucia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzira La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alzira scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

La Nucia let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.

Alzira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alzira VS La Nucia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzira

(Home)
09 May
CD Bunol
1 : 0
Alzira
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Alzira
19 Apr
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 0
Alzira
11 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Espanol de San Vicente
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La Nucia

(Away)
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)