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Alzira vs Utiel

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Borja M.
75' Event
Junquero D.
84' Event
Llario Moscardo C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 game between Alzira and Utiel finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alzira
35%
Draws
28%
Utiel
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alzira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Alzira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Alzira are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alzira Clean Sheet 20%
Utiel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alzira Utiel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Utiel
2:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Alzira
1:1
Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alzira vs Utiel
1:0
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Alzira
0:1
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Alzira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Borja M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boronat B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Junquero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Llario Moscardo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alzira 40 / 100
Utiel 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alzira Utiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alzira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alzira scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Utiel has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Alzira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alzira VS Utiel
0.71 Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.63
29% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alzira

(Home)
09 May
CD Bunol
1 : 0
Alzira
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
26 Apr
Vall de Uxo
1 : 0
Alzira
19 Apr
Atletico Saguntino
1 : 0
Alzira
11 Apr
Alzira
1 : 0
Espanol de San Vicente
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Utiel

(Away)
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)