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Amagaju vs Police Prediction & H2H Stats

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Amagaju Logo

Amagaju

2 - 1
FT
Police Logo

Police

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Amagaju and Police finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amagaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Amagaju
20%
Draws
51%
Police
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Police come out ahead of Amagaju on wins alone.
  • Amagaju are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 68%
Police Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amagaju Police
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 13
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.6 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Premier League
Amagaju vs Police
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Amagaju
1:0
May 7, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Police
0:2
Nov 29, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Amagaju
0:1
Apr 2, 2024 Premier League
Police vs Amagaju
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amagaju 46 / 100
Police 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amagaju Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Amagaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Amagaju scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amagaju VS Police
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amagaju

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)