Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amagaju vs Sunrise

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Amagaju Logo

Amagaju

1 - 0
FT
Sunrise Logo

Sunrise

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Rukundo A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Amagaju in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amagaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Amagaju
35%
Draws
40%
Sunrise
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Amagaju have won more games recently than Sunrise.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 20%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amagaju Sunrise
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.62 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Sunrise
1:0
Dec 8, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Amagaju
2:1
May 5, 2019 Premier League
Sunrise vs Amagaju
1:1
Dec 22, 2018 Premier League
Amagaju vs Sunrise
0:2
Jun 18, 2018 Premier League
Amagaju vs Sunrise
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amagaju 32 / 100
Sunrise 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amagaju Sunrise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunrise let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Amagaju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Amagaju scored in 47% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amagaju VS Sunrise
1 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amagaju

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
Page 1 of 7

Sunrise

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)