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Amapa vs Macapa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2005
Amapa Logo

Amapa

1 - 3
FT
Macapa Logo

Macapa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2005 game between Amapa and Macapa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Amapa
15%
Draws
26%
Macapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amapa come out ahead of Macapa on wins alone.
  • Amapa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Amapa Clean Sheet 20%
Macapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amapa Macapa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.37 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2008 Amapaense
Amapa vs Macapa
2:2
Jul 23, 2005 Amapaense
Macapa vs Amapa
2:3
Jun 20, 2005 Amapaense
Amapa vs Macapa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amapa 85 / 100
Macapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amapa Macapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Macapa conceded in 91% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Amapa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Amapa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Macapa
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amapa

(Home)
21 Jun
Amapa
1 : 1
Independente AP
13 Jun
Ypiranga AP
0 : 1
Amapa
01 Jun
Trem
2 : 1
Amapa
17 May
Amapa
3 : 2
Santos AP
10 May
Cristal AP
2 : 0
Amapa
Page 1 of 6

Macapa

(Away)
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
09 Mar
Macapa
1 : 3
Independente AP
06 Mar
Oratorio
3 : 0
Macapa
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
22 Feb
Cristal AP
1 : 2
Macapa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SAO Jose 5 3 2 0 12:6 11
2 Ypiranga AP 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
3 Macapa 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
4 Amapa 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
5 Trem 5 1 1 3 8:17 4
6 Cristal AP 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2005 (Grand Final)