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Amarante FC vs FC Madalena Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
Amarante FC Logo

Amarante FC

2 - 1
FT
FC Madalena Logo

FC Madalena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 game between Amarante FC and FC Madalena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Amarante FC
20%
Draws
22%
FC Madalena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Madalena haven't matched Amarante FC's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 11%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC FC Madalena
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Amarante FC
2:0
Nov 5, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Amarante FC vs FC Madalena
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 65 / 100
FC Madalena 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC FC Madalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

FC Madalena let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Amarante FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS FC Madalena
1.5 Goals Scored 3
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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FC Madalena

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Madalena
1 : 3
Lusitania FC
30 Aug
SC Barreiro
2 : 5
FC Madalena
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tondela 30 19 6 5 49:22 63
2 SC Espinho 30 19 5 6 50:32 62
3 Operario 30 15 7 8 34:26 52
4 Boavista 30 15 5 10 43:31 50
5 Amarante FC 30 13 10 7 48:30 49
6 Sao Joao de Ver 30 15 4 11 43:46 49
7 Gondomar 30 13 5 12 27:31 44
8 Cinfaes 30 12 7 11 35:40 43
9 Coimbroes 30 9 15 6 30:31 42
10 Anadia 30 11 7 12 45:42 40
11 Padroense 30 11 6 13 47:50 39
12 Aliados Lordelo 30 10 7 13 41:40 37
13 Oliv. Bairro 30 7 7 16 34:50 28
14 SC Angrense 30 5 8 17 36:49 23
15 Paredes 30 6 5 19 30:50 23
16 FC Madalena 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)