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Amarante FC vs FC Madalena

Portugal Portugal

Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 game between Amarante FC and FC Madalena finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Amarante FC
6%
Draws
4%
FC Madalena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Madalena haven't matched Amarante FC's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • Regular Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 20%
FC Madalena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC FC Madalena
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Second Division - Zona Centro
FC Madalena vs Amarante FC
2:0
Nov 5, 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Amarante FC vs FC Madalena
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 85 / 100
FC Madalena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC FC Madalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

FC Madalena let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Amarante FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
22 Jul
Chaves
2 : 1
Amarante FC
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3
Amarante FC
10 May
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Santarem
01 May
Trofense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
26 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 2
CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 7

FC Madalena

(Away)
08 Sept
FC Madalena
0 : 2
Estrela Vendas Novas
11 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
FC Madalena
27 Sept
FC Barreirense
3 : 0
FC Madalena
29 Apr
FC Madalena
3 : 2
Aliados Lordelo
22 Apr
Tondela
1 : 1
FC Madalena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tondela30196549:2263
2SC Espinho30195650:3262
3Operario30157834:2652
4Boavista301551043:3150
5Amarante FC301310748:3049
6Sao Joao de Ver301541143:4649
7Gondomar301351227:3144
8Cinfaes301271135:4043
9Coimbroes30915630:3142
10Anadia301171245:4240
11Padroense301161347:5039
12Aliados Lordelo301071341:4037
13Oliv. Bairro30771634:5028
14SC Angrense30581736:4923
15Paredes30651930:5023
16FC Madalena30561932:5421
Promotion - Second Division - Zona Centro 2011/2012 (Main)