Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019

Gafanha

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Amarante FC play Gafanha in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019. Amarante FC are favorites here. Recently, Amarante FC averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Gafanha averaged 1.23 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Amarante FC won 3, Gafanha won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 5, 2019 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Amarante FC and 0.88 for Gafanha. This points to a Amarante FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Amarante FC

20%

Draws

23%

Gafanha

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Amarante FC picked up more points recently compared to Gafanha.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Amarante FC Clean Sheet 25%

Gafanha Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Amarante FC	Gafanha
Matches Played	36	31
Wins	20	9
Draws	9	3
Losses	7	19
Goals Scored	1.39	1.23
Goals Conceded	0.83	2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Amarante FC vs Gafanha

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Dec 22, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Gafanha vs Amarante FC

Possession: 58% - 52% Cards: 0 - 2

0:2

Apr 15, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Gafanha vs Amarante FC

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Feb 26, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Amarante FC vs Gafanha

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 56 / 100

Gafanha 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Amarante FC Gafanha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Amarante FC & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amarante FC attacking → ← attacking Gafanha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Gafanha let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Amarante FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gafanha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 30

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2