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Amarante FC vs Oliveira do Douro Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Semedo K.
57' Event
Pelegrini B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Amarante FC
30%
Draws
23%
Oliveira do Douro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amarante FC lately — more wins on the board than Oliveira do Douro.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Amarante FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira do Douro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC Oliveira do Douro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Oliveira do Douro vs Amarante FC
0:1
Dec 17, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Oliveira do Douro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amarante FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Oliveira do Douro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelegrini B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 68 / 100
Oliveira do Douro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC Oliveira do Douro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Oliveira do Douro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Amarante FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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Oliveira do Douro

(Away)
07 Apr
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 1
Amarante FC
24 Mar
Rebordosa
2 : 0
Oliveira do Douro
17 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 2
Paredes
09 Mar
AD Marco 09
2 : 4
Oliveira do Douro
03 Mar
Oliveira do Douro
0 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 26 17 8 1 40:15 59
2 Sao Joao de Ver 26 12 9 5 27:18 45
3 Gondomar 26 12 7 7 28:20 43
4 AD Marco 09 26 11 8 7 29:22 41
5 Rebordosa 26 8 12 6 27:23 36
6 Paredes 26 9 8 9 31:25 35
7 SC Salgueiros 26 9 8 9 35:26 35
8 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 8 10 8 35:32 34
9 Beira Mar 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Florgrade 26 8 9 9 24:24 33
11 Oliveira do Douro 26 6 8 12 25:33 26
12 Valadares Gaia FC 26 6 6 14 22:47 24
13 ACDR Lamelas 26 7 3 16 19:39 24
14 Vila Mea 26 6 4 16 27:45 22
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)