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Amawele vs Madlenya

Eswatini Eswatini

Swazi MTN Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Swazi MTN Premier League 2025/2026 game between Amawele and Madlenya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madlenya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Amawele
20%
Draws
33%
Madlenya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amawele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amawele come out ahead of Madlenya on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Amawele's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Amawele Clean Sheet 19%
Madlenya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amawele Madlenya
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.9 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Swazi MTN Premier League
Amawele vs Madlenya
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amawele 58 / 100
Madlenya 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amawele Madlenya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amawele Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madlenya let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Amawele stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Amawele found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Amawele VS Madlenya
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amawele

(Home)
14 Jun
Viva Stumbo
1 : 2
Amawele
10 Jun
Amawele
0 : 1
Madlenya
06 Jun
Magwanyana
0 : 2
Amawele
23 May
Manzini Wanderers
0 : 2
Amawele
19 May
Amawele
0 : 0
Tabankulu
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Madlenya

(Away)
14 Jun
Magwanyana
2 : 1
Madlenya
10 Jun
Amawele
0 : 1
Madlenya
06 Jun
Madlenya
1 : 0
Viva Stumbo
15 Jun
Madlenya
0 : 1
Tabankulu
11 Jun
Madlenya
0 : 0
Lozitha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amawele 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Madlenya 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Magwanyana 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
4 Viva Stumbo 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Swazi MTN Premier League (Main)