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Amazonas vs Aguia De Maraba

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Felipe Para
63' Event
Silva A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Amazonas
15%
Draws
39%
Aguia De Maraba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aguia De Maraba come out ahead of Amazonas on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Amazonas taking it.
  • Aguia De Maraba arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aguia De Maraba, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Aguia De Maraba
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Copa Norte
Amazonas vs Aguia De Maraba
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aguia De Maraba Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Para
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 68 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Aguia De Maraba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aguia De Maraba conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Amazonas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Aguia De Maraba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS Aguia De Maraba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Aguia De Maraba

(Away)
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1
ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0
Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1
Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0
Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 4 1 0 14:1 13
2 Paysandu PA 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
3 Guapore 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Trem 5 2 0 3 11:11 6
5 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5 1 0 4 10:15 3
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Porto Velho 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Amazonas 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
4 Remo 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Galvez 5 1 0 4 9:17 3
6 Monte Roraima 5 0 2 3 9:15 2
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)