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Amazonia IFC vs Capitao Poco

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal Colosso do Tapajós, Santarem
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Debu
82' Event
Raylson
90' Event
Inacio

AI Match Summary

The Paraense game between Amazonia IFC and Capitao Poco finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capitao Poco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Amazonia IFC
30%
Draws
56%
Capitao Poco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capitao Poco come out ahead of Amazonia IFC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Capitao Poco a 56% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 17%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonia IFC Capitao Poco
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.24 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 Paraense
Amazonia IFC vs Capitao Poco
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonia IFC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Capitao Poco Compare

Top Goalscorer Debu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raylson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonia IFC 15 / 100
Capitao Poco 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonia IFC Capitao Poco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capitao Poco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amazonia IFC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Capitao Poco has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Amazonia IFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amazonia IFC VS Capitao Poco
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonia IFC

(Home)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 6

Capitao Poco

(Away)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameta 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Paysandu PA 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
4 Aguia De Maraba 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
5 Remo 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
6 Tuna Luso 6 3 0 3 3:5 9
7 Castanhal 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
8 Santa Rosa 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
9 Sao Raimundo PA 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
10 Amazonia IFC 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
11 Bragantino PA 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
12 Sao Francisco 6 1 2 3 4:5 5
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)