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Amazonia IFC vs Santa Rosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal Colosso do Tapajós, Santarem
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Match Events

15' Event
Juninho
36' Event
Pedro Sena
40' Event
Pedro Sena

AI Match Summary

The Paraense game between Amazonia IFC and Santa Rosa finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Amazonia IFC
35%
Draws
37%
Santa Rosa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Rosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amazonia IFC come out ahead of Santa Rosa on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Amazonia IFC taking it.
  • Regular Paraense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonia IFC Santa Rosa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Paraense
Amazonia IFC vs Santa Rosa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonia IFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igor Ryan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santa Rosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Sena
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonia IFC 36 / 100
Santa Rosa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonia IFC Santa Rosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Amazonia IFC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Santa Rosa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Amazonia IFC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amazonia IFC VS Santa Rosa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonia IFC

(Home)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
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Santa Rosa

(Away)
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2
Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameta 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Paysandu PA 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
4 Aguia De Maraba 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
5 Remo 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
6 Tuna Luso 6 3 0 3 3:5 9
7 Castanhal 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
8 Santa Rosa 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
9 Sao Raimundo PA 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
10 Amazonia IFC 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
11 Bragantino PA 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
12 Sao Francisco 6 1 2 3 4:5 5
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)