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Amberg vs Aschaffenburg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 game between Amberg and Aschaffenburg finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aschaffenburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Amberg
20%
Draws
80%
Aschaffenburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aschaffenburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aschaffenburg come out ahead of Amberg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aschaffenburg a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Amberg Clean Sheet 16%
Aschaffenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amberg Aschaffenburg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Amberg vs Aschaffenburg
0:2
Jul 21, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Amberg
4:0
Apr 21, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Aschaffenburg vs Amberg
3:3
Sep 24, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Amberg vs Aschaffenburg
2:3
Nov 28, 2015 Regionalliga Bayern
Amberg vs Aschaffenburg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amberg 10 / 100
Aschaffenburg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amberg Aschaffenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aschaffenburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Amberg scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Aschaffenburg let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Aschaffenburg registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aschaffenburg
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Amberg

(Home)
18 May
Amberg
1 : 7
Jahn Forchheim
12 May
Gebenbach
5 : 2
Amberg
05 May
Ansbach
4 : 1
Amberg
28 Apr
Amberg
0 : 1
Weiden
25 Apr
Amberg
2 : 3
1. FC Schweinfurt II
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Aschaffenburg

(Away)
02 Oct
Weiden
1 : 1
Aschaffenburg
25 Sept
Aschaffenburg
2 : 2
Bayern Hof
18 Sept
TSV Kornburg
1 : 2
Aschaffenburg
15 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 2
Wurzburger FV
12 Sept
Aschaffenburg
1 : 3
ASV Neumarkt
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aschaffenburg 34 26 4 4 91:29 82
2 TSV Aubstadt 34 22 4 8 71:33 70
3 Wurzburger FV 34 19 10 5 71:36 67
4 Eltersdorf 34 17 13 4 65:44 64
5 Gebenbach 34 20 4 10 76:51 64
6 Jahn Forchheim 34 16 6 12 78:67 54
7 Ansbach 34 15 8 11 74:61 53
8 Grossbardorf 34 14 9 11 51:47 51
9 Erlangen 34 12 8 14 53:75 44
10 Bayern Hof 34 12 7 15 61:59 43
11 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 11 9 14 47:49 42
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 8 15 65:67 41
13 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 11 7 16 44:50 40
14 Weiden 34 11 7 16 51:77 40
15 1. FC Sand 34 7 9 18 39:57 30
16 1. FC Schweinfurt II 34 7 9 18 33:54 30
17 Erlenbach 34 6 5 23 43:94 23
18 Amberg 34 4 3 27 37:100 15
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Relegation)