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Ambrosiana vs Abano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2017/2018 game between Ambrosiana and Abano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ambrosiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ambrosiana
15%
Draws
0%
Abano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ambrosiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ambrosiana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 19%
Abano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ambrosiana Abano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.44 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Abano
1:0
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Abano vs Ambrosiana
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 85 / 100
Abano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ambrosiana Abano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ambrosiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abano let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Abano's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ambrosiana found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ambrosiana VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ambrosiana

(Home)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 7

Abano

(Away)
06 May
AC Belluno
2 : 1
Abano
29 Apr
Abano
1 : 3
Legnago Salus
21 Apr
Abano
1 : 2
Montebelluna
15 Apr
Tamai
2 : 0
Abano
08 Apr
Abano
0 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Verona 34 22 7 5 60:33 73
2 Campodarsego 34 21 5 8 73:43 68
3 Arzignano 34 19 10 5 75:42 67
4 Mantova 34 17 9 8 56:34 60
5 Adriese 34 16 8 10 56:31 56
6 Este 34 15 11 8 49:29 56
7 AC Belluno 34 15 6 13 62:50 51
8 Legnago Salus 34 13 10 11 53:47 49
9 Union Feltre 34 14 7 13 49:56 49
10 Delta Porto Tolle 34 13 8 13 47:50 47
11 Cjarlins Muzane 34 10 14 10 51:49 44
12 Clodiense 34 10 11 13 44:60 41
13 Ambrosiana 34 11 7 16 51:64 40
14 Tamai 34 10 10 14 50:51 40
15 Montebelluna 34 8 8 18 34:50 32
16 Calvi Noale 34 7 7 20 32:67 28
17 Liventina 34 5 10 19 33:64 25
18 Abano 34 4 4 26 25:80 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2017/2018 (Play Offs)