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Ambrosiana vs Ciserano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2018/2019
Ambrosiana Logo

Ambrosiana

5 - 2
FT
Ciserano Logo

Ciserano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 game between Ambrosiana and Ciserano finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ambrosiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ambrosiana
15%
Draws
21%
Ciserano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ambrosiana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ambrosiana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 19%
Ciserano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ambrosiana Ciserano
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Ambrosiana vs Ciserano
5:2
Dec 23, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano vs Ambrosiana
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 85 / 100
Ciserano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ambrosiana Ciserano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ambrosiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciserano conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ambrosiana scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Ambrosiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ambrosiana VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ambrosiana

(Home)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 8

Ciserano

(Away)
05 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 2
Ciserano
28 Apr
Ciserano
2 : 1
Seregno Calcio
18 Apr
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0
Ciserano
13 Apr
Ciserano
0 : 3
Rezzato
07 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 0
Ciserano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como 34 28 5 1 68:18 89
2 Mantova 34 26 5 3 73:27 83
3 Pro Sesto 34 21 6 7 61:42 69
4 Rezzato 34 20 5 9 53:36 65
5 Caronnese 34 17 8 9 57:41 59
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 12 11 34:41 45
7 Sondrio 34 11 11 12 38:39 44
8 Seregno Calcio 34 11 10 13 37:42 43
9 Villa Valle 34 10 11 13 35:35 41
10 Caravaggio 34 10 10 14 45:53 40
11 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 7 16 51:52 40
12 Scanzorosciate 34 9 12 13 35:37 39
13 Legnago Salus 34 10 8 16 38:57 38
14 Darfo Boario 34 8 11 15 26:46 35
15 Ambrosiana 34 9 6 19 45:62 33
16 Villafranca 34 6 13 15 36:44 31
17 Ciserano 34 6 8 20 42:68 26
18 Olginatese 34 3 10 21 26:60 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2018/2019 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2018/2019 (Play Offs)