Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America De Cali vs Alianza Atl.

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Suarez R.
22'
Angel T.
31' Event
Munoz A.

AI Match Summary

America De Cali host Alianza Atl. in the Copa Sudamericana. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: America De Cali at 0.63 goals for, 0.75 against; Alianza Atl. at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor America De Cali slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.75) point toward America De Cali. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
America De Cali
40%
Draws
29%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • America De Cali has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Alianza Atl..
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Copa Sudamericana provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America De Cali Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Alianza Atl. vs America De Cali
0:2
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
America De Cali vs Alianza Atl.
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America De Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Valencia D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America De Cali 32 / 100
Alianza Atl. 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America De Cali Alianza Atl.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America De Cali scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

America De Cali went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alianza Atl. lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America De Cali VS Alianza Atl.
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171