Sport Picks
America De Cali vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali 
Match Events
29'
29'
Tovar C.
Assist: Hernandez N.
45'
45'
Angel T.
Assist: Guzman Y.
45'
45'
Meza Mercado E. W.
AI Match Summary
America De Cali in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America De Cali.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America De Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- America De Cali have won more games recently than Alianza.
- Win probability leans America De Cali's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- America De Cali have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America De Cali | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Primera A
America De Cali vs Alianza
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs America De Cali
0:3
Aug 31, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs America De Cali
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Alianza
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs America De Cali
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America De Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Tovar C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Angel T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Alianza Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America De Cali 86 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America De Cali Alianza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America De Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: America De Cali scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: America De Cali stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America De Cali VS Alianza
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
America De Cali
(Home) 05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
Page 1 of 3
Alianza
(Away) 09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2 Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1 Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2 Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4 Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1 Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2 Alianza
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2 Alianza
10 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0 Alianza
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Aguilas Doradas | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:26 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 18:22 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
