Sport Picks
America De Cali vs Atl. Nacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali 
Match Events
35'
35'
Tovar C.
46'
46'
Guzman Y.
Assist: Carrascal R.
47'
47'
Jean
AI Match Summary
America De Cali in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America De Cali.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America De Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- America De Cali haven't matched Atl. Nacional's recent run of results.
- Model gives America De Cali a 41% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 68%
Atl. Nacional Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America De Cali | Atl. Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 10, 2026 Primera A
America De Cali vs Atl. Nacional
1:0
Feb 5, 2026 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs America De Cali
2:1
Dec 8, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Atl. Nacional
3:2
Nov 21, 2025 Primera A
Atl. Nacional vs America De Cali
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Copa Colombia
America De Cali vs Atl. Nacional
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America De Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Guzman Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Atl. Nacional Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America De Cali 68 / 100
Atl. Nacional 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America De Cali Atl. Nacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America De Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America De Cali found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Atl. Nacional conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: America De Cali stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America De Cali VS Atl. Nacional
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
America De Cali
(Home) 05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Nacional
(Away) 08 Oct
Atl. Nacional
0 : 0 Deportes Tolima
01 Oct
Atl. Nacional
3 : 1 Junior
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0 Atl. Nacional
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3 Atl. Nacional
30 Aug
Alianza
1 : 5 Atl. Nacional
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
10 Aug
America De Cali
1 : 0 Atl. Nacional
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America De Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 19:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Inter Bogotá | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14:18 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Alianza | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9:18 | 9 |
| 19 | Dep. Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | 7 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
