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America De Cali vs Dep. Pasto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Rios J.
12'
Sub
Obregon J. In: Micolta Piedahita J.
Out: Obregon J.
26'
Rosero D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between America De Cali and Dep. Pasto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dep. Pasto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
America De Cali
20%
Draws
33%
Dep. Pasto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America De Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dep. Pasto haven't matched America De Cali's recent run of results.
  • Model gives America De Cali a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Pasto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America De Cali Dep. Pasto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Primera A
America De Cali vs Dep. Pasto
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali
2:0
Sep 25, 2025 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Dep. Pasto
1:1
Nov 7, 2024 Primera A
Dep. Pasto vs America De Cali
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America De Cali Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dep. Pasto Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America De Cali 85 / 100
Dep. Pasto 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America De Cali Dep. Pasto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America De Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America De Cali's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dep. Pasto let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: America De Cali stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America De Cali VS Dep. Pasto
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America De Cali

(Home)
05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2
America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1
Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Pasto

(Away)
04 Oct
Dep. Pasto
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
16 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)