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Stadium Background

America De Cali vs Ind. Medellin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
01:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America De Cali host Ind. Medellin in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: America De Cali at 1.53 goals for, 0.73 against; Ind. Medellin at 1.48 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Ind. Medellin slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.31) back America De Cali to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
America De Cali
30%
Draws
23%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America De Cali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • America De Cali have won more games recently than Ind. Medellin.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on America De Cali taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 18%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America De Cali Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs America De Cali
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs America De Cali
1:1
Nov 27, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Ind. Medellin
2:1
Nov 14, 2025 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs America De Cali
3:0
Jun 20, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Ind. Medellin
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America De Cali 58 / 100
Ind. Medellin 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America De Cali Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America De Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America De Cali scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Ind. Medellin let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

America De Cali has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America De Cali VS Ind. Medellin
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America De Cali

(Home)
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0
Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1
America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1
Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1
Dep. Pereira
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Medellin

(Away)
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2
Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
6 Ind. Medellin 11 6 2 3 19:15 20
7 Santa Fe 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)