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America de Cali W vs Dep. Pasto W Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Garzon S.
59'
Sub
Chara Mina N. In: Santos S.
Out: Chara Mina N.
62' Event
Munoz M.
Assist: Florez G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between America de Cali W and Dep. Pasto W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Cali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
America de Cali W
20%
Draws
23%
Dep. Pasto W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America de Cali W come out ahead of Dep. Pasto W on wins alone.
  • America de Cali W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors America de Cali W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Pasto W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Cali W Dep. Pasto W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Dep. Pasto W
2:0
May 11, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Dep. Pasto W
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Liga Women
Dep. Pasto W vs America de Cali W
0:3
Apr 19, 2023 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Dep. Pasto W
5:0
Nov 20, 2020 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Dep. Pasto W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Dep. Pasto W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Cali W 95 / 100
Dep. Pasto W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Cali W Dep. Pasto W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

America de Cali W scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Dep. Pasto W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: America de Cali W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Cali W VS Dep. Pasto W
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Cali W

(Home)
12 Sept
Dep. Cali W
0 : 1
America de Cali W
09 Sept
America de Cali W
3 : 1
Orsomarso W
05 Sept
America de Cali W
0 : 1
Indep. Santa Fe W
02 Sept
Indep. Santa Fe W
1 : 1
America de Cali W
29 Aug
Orsomarso W
0 : 2
America de Cali W
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Dep. Pasto W

(Away)
20 Aug
Orsomarso W
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
02 Aug
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá W
26 Jul
Dep. Pasto W
4 : 1
Once Caldas W
29 May
Dep. Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
24 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)