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America de Cali W vs Llaneros W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2024 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America de Cali W play Llaneros W in the Liga Women 2024. America de Cali W are favorites here. Recently, America de Cali W averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Llaneros W averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, America de Cali W won 4, Llaneros W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for America de Cali W and 0.63 for Llaneros W. This points to a America de Cali W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
America de Cali W
15%
Draws
26%
Llaneros W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Cali W picked up more points recently compared to Llaneros W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 29%
Llaneros W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Cali W Llaneros W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.39 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Llaneros W
3:1
Jun 23, 2024 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs America de Cali W
1:0
May 11, 2024 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Llaneros W
3:0
Feb 11, 2023 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Llaneros W
1:0
Apr 24, 2022 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs America de Cali W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Cali W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamorano M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Llaneros W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Cali W 59 / 100
Llaneros W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Cali W Llaneros W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Cali W Win (1)
Secondary Pick America de Cali W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America de Cali W attacking → ← attacking Llaneros W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Cali W scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Llaneros W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

America de Cali W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Llaneros W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 29
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Indep. Santa Fe W641111:713
2Atl. Nacional W62319:79
3Alianza W62138:97
4Ind. Medellin W61147:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali W64029:512
2Millonarios W640211:812
3America de Cali W63038:89
4Llaneros W61056:133