Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America de Cali W vs Millonarios W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Rivas M. In: Santos S.
Out: Rivas M.
63'
Sub
Agudelo M. In: Caro J.
Out: Agudelo M.
63'
Sub
Castillo V. In: Graterol F.
Out: Castillo V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women 2025 game between America de Cali W and Millonarios W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
America de Cali W
20%
Draws
38%
Millonarios W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America de Cali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America de Cali W come out ahead of Millonarios W on wins alone.
  • America de Cali W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
America de Cali W Clean Sheet 16%
Millonarios W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Cali W Millonarios W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs America de Cali W
0:0
Aug 28, 2025 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Millonarios W
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs America de Cali W
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Women
Millonarios W vs America de Cali W
1:0
Jul 7, 2024 Liga Women
America de Cali W vs Millonarios W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Cali W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Millonarios W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olaya R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Cali W 41 / 100
Millonarios W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Cali W Millonarios W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America de Cali W scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Millonarios W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

America de Cali W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America de Cali W VS Millonarios W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Cali W

(Home)
24 Jul
Dep. Cali W
1 : 0
America de Cali W
29 May
America de Cali W
5 : 0
Inter Palmira W
23 May
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 1
America de Cali W
17 May
America de Cali W
2 : 0
Dep. Pasto W
11 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0
America de Cali W
Page 1 of 6

Millonarios W

(Away)
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1
Ind. Medellin W
23 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0
Real Santander W
15 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 3
Millonarios W
11 May
Millonarios W
0 : 0
America de Cali W
03 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orsomarso W63309:312
2Dep. Cali W62317:39
3Ind. Medellin W61327:126
4Inter Palmira W60333:83
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W650111:515
2Indep. Santa Fe W62135:67
3America de Cali W61325:86
4Millonarios W61236:85
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Play Offs)