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America de Pedrinhas vs Flamengo SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America de Pedrinhas play Flamengo SE in the Sergipano 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, America de Pedrinhas averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Flamengo SE averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, America de Pedrinhas won 1, Flamengo SE won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 5, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for America de Pedrinhas and 1.25 for Flamengo SE. This points to a America de Pedrinhas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
America de Pedrinhas
15%
Draws
34%
Flamengo SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • America de Pedrinhas picked up more points recently compared to Flamengo SE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 19%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Pedrinhas Flamengo SE
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Flamengo SE
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Pedrinhas 50 / 100
Flamengo SE 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Pedrinhas Flamengo SE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: America de Pedrinhas or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America de Pedrinhas attacking → ← attacking Flamengo SE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Pedrinhas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Flamengo SE let in goals in 55% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

America de Pedrinhas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Flamengo SE lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 28
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280