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America de Pedrinhas vs Frei Paulistano

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sergipano 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
America de Pedrinhas
6%
Draws
90%
Frei Paulistano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Frei Paulistano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Frei Paulistano have won more games recently than America de Pedrinhas.
  • Win probability leans Frei Paulistano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 12%
Frei Paulistano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Pedrinhas Frei Paulistano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Frei Paulistano
3:3
Jan 29, 2020 Sergipano
America de Pedrinhas vs Frei Paulistano
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Pedrinhas 10 / 100
Frei Paulistano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Pedrinhas Frei Paulistano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

America de Pedrinhas's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Frei Paulistano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

America de Pedrinhas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America de Pedrinhas VS Frei Paulistano
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Pedrinhas

(Home)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

Frei Paulistano

(Away)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
26 Oct
Atletico Central
0 : 1
Frei Paulistano
18 Oct
Frei Paulistano
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3
Frei Paulistano
11 Oct
Frei Paulistano
5 : 1
Boca Junior
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju981026:325
2Atletico Gloriense971122:222
3Olimpico EC971122:522
4Frei Paulistano951320:916
5Caninde941414:2013
6America de Pedrinhas93249:1511
7Atletico Central92167:177
8Flamengo SE92078:166
9Independente SE91266:235
10Boca Junior91084:280
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