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America de Propria vs Desportiva Aracaju

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between America de Propria and Desportiva Aracaju finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America de Propria
6%
Draws
4%
Desportiva Aracaju
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Propria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives America de Propria a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 68%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Propria Desportiva Aracaju
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 12 4
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Desportiva Aracaju
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Propria 95 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Propria Desportiva Aracaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Propria's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Desportiva Aracaju registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Desportiva Aracaju let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

America de Propria VS Desportiva Aracaju
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Propria

(Home)
08 Mar
Itabaiana
1 : 0
America de Propria
01 Mar
Sergipe
2 : 1
America de Propria
26 Feb
America de Propria
1 : 1
Sergipe
22 Feb
Lagarto
0 : 3
America de Propria
18 Feb
America de Propria
1 : 2
Tirol
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Desportiva Aracaju

(Away)
14 Feb
Falcon
2 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3
Lagarto
08 Feb
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
04 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 2
Sergipe
31 Jan
America de Propria
0 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sergipe962113:620
2Itabaiana952212:417
3Lagarto944116:816
4Confianca943210:615
5Guarany SE933310:1012
6America de Propria92618:812
7Falcon93248:1011
8Atletico Gloriense931514:1310
9Dorense92169:237
10Desportiva Aracaju90275:172
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)