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America de Propria vs Lagarto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Governo (Sergipe)
America de Propria Logo

America de Propria

0 - 1
FT
Lagarto Logo

Lagarto

Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Hitalo Rogerio
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
America de Propria
15%
Draws
85%
Lagarto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lagarto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lagarto have won more games recently than America de Propria.
  • Win probability leans Lagarto's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Lagarto arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lagarto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 11%
Lagarto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Propria Lagarto
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.12 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
America de Propria vs Lagarto
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Sergipano
Lagarto vs America de Propria
0:3
Feb 4, 2026 Sergipano
Lagarto vs America de Propria
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Sergipano
Lagarto vs America de Propria
2:1
Jan 14, 2024 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Lagarto
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Propria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lagarto Compare

Top Goalscorer Hitalo Rogerio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Propria 18 / 100
Lagarto 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Propria Lagarto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagarto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America de Propria scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Lagarto let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Lagarto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Propria VS Lagarto
1 Goals Scored 1
2.6 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Propria

(Home)
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2
America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
Page 1 of 7

Lagarto

(Away)
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0
Lagarto
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2
Falcon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon 5 5 0 0 9:1 15
2 Desportiva Aracaju 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
3 Lagarto 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Atletico Gloriense 5 1 3 1 6:3 6
5 Guarany SE 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
6 America de Propria 5 0 0 5 5:13 0
Promotion - Copa Governo (Sergipe) (Play Offs)