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America de Propria vs Sergipe

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Estadio Paulo Barreto de Menezes (Barretao)
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pereira Neto J. A.
Penalty Missed
30'
Lucas Mineiro
42'
Matheus Neris

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between America de Propria and Sergipe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
America de Propria
28%
Draws
22%
Sergipe
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: America de Propria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sergipe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives America de Propria a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 68%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Propria Sergipe
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 18
Draws 12 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
2:1
Feb 26, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Sergipe
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Sergipe
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Propria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sergipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliano Fabro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Propria 59 / 100
Sergipe 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Propria Sergipe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America de Propria scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sergipe conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sergipe registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America de Propria VS Sergipe
1.2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sergipe-
TBD-
Lagarto0
America de Propria3
Itabaiana1
Falcon0
Confianca1
Guarany SE0
Semi-finals
Sergipe3
America de Propria2
Itabaiana2
Confianca3
Final
Sergipe2
Confianca1
Itabaiana1
America de Propria0