Sport Picks

Stadium Background

America de Propria vs Sergipe

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Estadio Paulo Barreto de Menezes (Barretao), Lagarto
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pereira Neto J. A.
Penalty Missed
30'
Lucas Mineiro
42'
Matheus Neris

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
America de Propria
20%
Draws
80%
Sergipe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sergipe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sergipe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sergipe a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Sergipe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 10%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Propria Sergipe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
2:1
Feb 26, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Sergipe
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Sergipe
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Propria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sergipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliano Fabro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Propria 22 / 100
Sergipe 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Propria Sergipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sergipe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Propria found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sergipe has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Sergipe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Propria VS Sergipe
0.83 Goals Scored 1.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Propria

(Home)
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2
America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
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Sergipe

(Away)
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1
Sergipe
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1
Treze PB
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sergipe -
TBD -
Lagarto 0
America de Propria 3
Itabaiana 1
Falcon 0
Confianca 1
Guarany SE 0
Semi-finals
Sergipe 3
America de Propria 2
Itabaiana 2
Confianca 3
Final
Sergipe 2
Confianca 1
Itabaiana 1
America de Propria 0