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America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Sun, Jul 12, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America de Quito host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. This one's hard to separate. America de Quito have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Fuerza Amarilla's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, America de Quito have won 2 to Fuerza Amarilla's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Nov 14, 2020, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.10 - 1.50) back America de Quito to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America de Quito
6%
Draws
4%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Quito have won more games recently than Fuerza Amarilla.
  • Model gives America de Quito a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 16%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Quito Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 39 16
Wins 13 2
Draws 12 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs America de Quito
1:1
Nov 8, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs America de Quito
0:0
Jul 12, 2020 Serie B
America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Mar 1, 2020 Serie B
America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla
2:1
Oct 20, 2019 Liga Pro
America de Quito vs Fuerza Amarilla
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Quito 84 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Quito Fuerza Amarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America de Quito scored in 82% of their last 39 outings.

Recent resilience: America de Quito stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fuerza Amarilla conceded in 63% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

America de Quito VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Quito

(Home)
27 Oct
America de Quito
3 : 1
Chacaritas
18 Oct
Vargas Torres
0 : 1
America de Quito
11 Oct
America de Quito
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
05 Oct
Independiente Juniors
2 : 2
America de Quito
27 Sept
Buhos ULVR
1 : 1
America de Quito
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Fuerza Amarilla

(Away)
14 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
America de Quito
08 Nov
Atletico Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
04 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
31 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416
Promotion - Liga Pro 2021 (First stage)