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America MG U20 vs Coimbra Sports U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America MG U20 play Coimbra Sports U20 in the Mineiro U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, America MG U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Coimbra Sports U20 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, America MG U20 won 3, Coimbra Sports U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for America MG U20 and 1.42 for Coimbra Sports U20. This points to a America MG U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
America MG U20
26%
Draws
34%
Coimbra Sports U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: America MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • America MG U20 picked up more points recently compared to Coimbra Sports U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.42 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Coimbra Sports U20 Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG U20 Coimbra Sports U20
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Mineiro U20
America MG U20 vs Coimbra Sports U20
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Mineiro U20
Coimbra Sports U20 vs America MG U20
1:1
May 17, 2025 Mineiro U20
America MG U20 vs Coimbra Sports U20
1:0
Aug 18, 2024 Mineiro U20
Coimbra Sports U20 vs America MG U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Coimbra Sports U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG U20 39 / 100
Coimbra Sports U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG U20 Coimbra Sports U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: America MG U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America MG U20 attacking → ← attacking Coimbra Sports U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG U20 scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Coimbra Sports U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

America MG U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Coimbra Sports U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 45
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.71
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.71

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-MG U201080235:724
2Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201071221:1322
3Athletic Club U201061320:1119
4Nacional de Muriae U201054116:1019
5Itabirito U201052312:1317
6America MG U201051423:1316
7Betim FC U201043314:1815
8Coimbra Sports U20104247:714
9Boston City U201042412:1614
10Social U201033415:1712
11Inter de Minas U201033410:1512
12Sao Joao del Rei U201016311:139
13Villa Real U20101454:147
14Minas Boca U20101368:266
15Uberabinha U20100195:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U201071221:1322
2Itabirito U201052312:1317
3Coimbra Sports U20104247:714
4Social U201033415:1712
5Sao Joao del Rei U201016311:139
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Athletic Club U201061320:1119
2America MG U201051423:1316
3Villa Real U20101454:147
4Minas Boca U20101368:266
5Uberabinha U20100195:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-MG U201080235:724
2Nacional de Muriae U201054116:1019
3Betim FC U201043314:1815
4Boston City U201042412:1614
5Inter de Minas U201033410:1512