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America MG vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
America MG Logo

America MG

3 - 2
FT
Cianorte Logo

Cianorte

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Goncalves O.
15'
Allan Passos
26'
Dener
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
America MG
20%
Draws
36%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cianorte lately — more wins on the board than America MG.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cianorte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America MG, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
America MG Clean Sheet 16%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Cianorte
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.86 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
America MG vs Cianorte
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Souza
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer Reifit
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allan Passos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 31 / 100
Cianorte 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cianorte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

America MG found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Cianorte let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

America MG has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Cianorte
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6

Cianorte

(Away)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)