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America MG vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Goncalves O.
15'
Allan Passos
26'
Dener

AI Match Summary

America MG in this Copa Sul-Sudeste tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
America MG
28%
Draws
50%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cianorte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cianorte lately — more wins on the board than America MG.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Cianorte taking it.
  • Cianorte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor America MG, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
America MG Clean Sheet 20%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Cianorte
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
America MG vs Cianorte
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Yago Souza
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer Reifit
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allan Passos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 24 / 100
Cianorte 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

America MG found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Cianorte let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

America MG has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Cianorte
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0
America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0
America MG
23 Jun
America MG
0 : 1
Criciuma
Page 1 of 6

Cianorte

(Away)
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
20 Jun
Sao Joseense
0 : 1
Cianorte
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chapecoense-SC64118:513
2Novorizontino63218:511
3SER Caxias do Sul63216:311
4Cianorte62229:108
5Tombense612311:135
6Sampaio Correa FE61237:95
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avai631210:810
2Volta Redonda63129:810
3Operario-PR62315:49
4America MG622211:118
5EC Juventude61144:94
6Sao Bernardo60336:93
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)