Sport Picks
America MG vs EC Juventude - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte 
Match Events
29'
29'
Sub
Bruno Brigido In: Gustavo
Out: Bruno Brigido
46'
46'
Sub
Ostchega T. In: Montes L.
Out: Ostchega T.
56'
56'
Goncalves O.
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between America MG and EC Juventude finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Juventude.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC Juventude
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
America MG Clean Sheet 15%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America MG | EC Juventude |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs EC Juventude
0:1
May 30, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs America MG
3:0
Aug 6, 2022 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs America MG
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Serie A Betano
America MG vs EC Juventude
4:1
Oct 10, 2021 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs America MG
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America MG Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
EC Juventude Compare
Top Goalscorer MP
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America MG 35 / 100
EC Juventude 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America MG EC Juventude
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
America MG found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
EC Juventude's defensive record shows goals conceded in 37% of 30 matches.
Difficult form: EC Juventude registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America MG VS EC Juventude
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
America MG
(Home) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
EC Juventude
(Away) 07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0 Operario-PR
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 EC Juventude
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
