Sport Picks
America MG vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte 
Match Events
53'
53'
Gustavo Barreto
54'
54'
Lucas Lima
60'
60'
Sub
Julio Cesar In: Segovia M.
Out: Julio Cesar
AI Match Summary
Sao Bernardo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Bernardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sao Bernardo have won more games recently than America MG.
- Win probability leans Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
America MG Clean Sheet 15%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America MG | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 21 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Serie B
America MG vs Sao Bernardo
0:2
May 16, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs America MG
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America MG Compare
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabricio Daniel
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedro Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America MG 10 / 100
Sao Bernardo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America MG Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Bernardo let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
America MG found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).
Sao Bernardo lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America MG VS Sao Bernardo
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
America MG
(Home) 07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0 America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0 America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1 Fortaleza
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1 EC Juventude
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1 Nautico
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
Sao Bernardo
(Away) 06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1 CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
28 Aug
Goias
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EC Juventude | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 59 |
| 2 | Vila Nova FC | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 58 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 54:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 56 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 33:28 | 53 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 52 |
| 7 | CRB | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 50 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 47 |
| 11 | Goias | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 45 |
| 13 | Nautico | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ceara | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:39 | 42 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | 38 |
| 17 | Avai | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | 33 |
| 18 | Londrina | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
