Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil Mineirão, Belo Horizonte

America MG

Thu, Mar 5, 2026

2 - 1

12:30 AM

Tirol

Our Tip

Match Events

59'

Willian Bigode

63'

Welton Santana

Willian Bigode

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

America MG

20%

Draws

58%

Tirol

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Tirol have won more games recently than America MG.
Tirol are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Tirol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor America MG, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

America MG Clean Sheet 18%

Tirol Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America MG	Tirol
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	5	10
Draws	7	6
Losses	19	14
Goals Scored	0.94	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil

America MG vs Tirol

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian Bigode

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Tirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Welton Santana

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 15 / 100

Tirol 67 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America MG Tirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tirol Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America MG scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Tirol has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: America MG remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Tirol

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)

20 Aug

Novorizontino

3 : 0

America MG

16 Aug

America MG

1 : 3

Athletic Club

08 Aug

Botafogo SP

2 : 1

America MG

26 Jul

America MG

1 : 0

Goias

21 Jul

Avai

2 : 1

America MG

Page 1 of 7

Tirol

(Away)

13 Jun

Piaui

2 : 1

Tirol

01 Jun

Tirol

0 : 0

Ferroviario

26 May

Atletico Cearense

0 : 3

Tirol

16 May

Tirol

1 : 1

Fluminense-PI

09 May

Tirol

1 : 0

AE Altos

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Sampaio Correa FE 1

Desportiva Ferroviaria 2

TBD -

Sport Recife -

Anapolis -

TBD -

Cianorte -

Rio Branco ES -

TBD -

Athletic Club -

Ypiranga FC -

TBD -

Ji-Parana 2

Pantanal 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 1

Independente AP 0

TBD -

Volta Redonda -

America RN -

TBD -

Gremio Atletico Sampaio -

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG -

TBD -

America de Propria 1

Tirol 2

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama AC 1

Velo Clube 2

TBD -

Vila Nova FC -

ASA -

TBD -

Operario MS -

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense -

TBD -

Oratorio -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista -

TBD -

Maringa FC -

Retro -

TBD -

Uberlandia -

Gama 2

Monte Roraima 0

TBD -

Goias -

Trem -

TBD -

Fluminense-PI -

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville -

TBD -

CSA -

Sao Bernardo -

TBD -

Alagoinhas -

Sao Luiz -

TBD -

Maranhao -

Ceara -

TBD -

Araguaina 0

Primavera EC 3

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso -

TBD -

Tocantinopolis -

EC Juventude -

TBD -

Galvez 1

Guapore 2

Bare 0

Madureira 3

TBD -

ABC -

Aguia De Maraba -

TBD -

Independencia Futebol Clube -

Portuguesa -

TBD -

AE Altos -

Avai -

TBD -

Porto Vitoria -

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ -

TBD -

Maracana -

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC -

TBD -

Manaus FC -

Londrina -

TBD -

SC Penedense -

Betim FC 1

Piaui 0

TBD -

Operario-PR -

Juazeirense -

TBD -

Capital -

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG -

TBD -

Porto Velho -

Atletico GO -

TBD -

Primavera AC 2

Bragantino PA 1

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul -

TBD -

Guarany de Bage -

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

IAPE 0

TBD -

Cuiaba -

Ceilandia -

TBD -

Jacuipense -

Mixto -

TBD -

Botafogo PB -

Novorizontino -

TBD -

Nacional-AM (Manaus) -

Castanhal -

TBD -

Guarani -

Nova Iguacu -

TBD -

Lagarto -

Manauara -

TBD -

Itabaiana -

Fortaleza -

TBD -

Maguary 1

Laguna RN 0

Santa Cruz -

TBD -

Sousa -

CRB -

TBD -

Porto-BA 2

Serra Branca 1

Imperatriz -

TBD -

Amazonas -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Azuriz -

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/128-finals

Desportiva Ferroviaria 0

Sport Recife 1

Anapolis 3

Cianorte 1

Rio Branco ES 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 2

Ji-Parana 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 2

Volta Redonda 4

America RN 3

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG 2

Tirol 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Velo Clube 0

Vila Nova FC 1

ASA 1

Operario MS 2

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense 2

Oratorio 1

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista 2

Maringa FC 3

Retro 1

Uberlandia 2

Gama 2

Goias 3

Trem 0

Fluminense-PI 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 1

CSA 0

Sao Bernardo 2

Alagoinhas 0

Sao Luiz 0

Maranhao 1

Ceara 2

Primavera EC 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 4

Tocantinopolis 1

EC Juventude 5

Guapore 0

Madureira 1

ABC 0

Aguia De Maraba 2

Independencia Futebol Clube 0

Portuguesa 5

AE Altos 1

Avai 3

Porto Vitoria 0

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ 1

Maracana 0

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC 1

Manaus FC 2

Londrina 1

SC Penedense 0

Betim FC 0

Operario-PR 2

Juazeirense 1

Capital 2

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG 1

Porto Velho 2

Atletico GO 1

Primavera AC 0

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul 0

Guarany de Bage 1

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

Cuiaba 1

Ceilandia 1

Jacuipense 2

Mixto 2

Botafogo PB 1

Novorizontino 4

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0

Castanhal 2

Guarani 1

Nova Iguacu 2

Lagarto 1

Manauara 3

Itabaiana 1

Fortaleza 4

Maguary 3

Santa Cruz 0

Sousa 1

CRB 6

Porto-BA 0

Imperatriz 0

Amazonas 3

Figueirense 1

Azuriz 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/64-finals

Sport Recife 2

Anapolis 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 1

America RN 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

America MG 0

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 2

Operario MS 1

Confianca 2

Tombense 0

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 3

Uberlandia 2

Goias 3

Fluminense-PI 0

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 0

Sao Bernardo 1

Maranhao 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 1

EC Juventude 2

Madureira 0

Aguia De Maraba 1

Portuguesa 2

Avai 1

Paysandu PA 3

Portuguesa RJ 1

TBD -

Vasco -

Manaus FC 0

Londrina 1

Operario-PR 2

Capital 0

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Porto Velho 0

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 1

Guarany de Bage 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 0

Jacuipense 1

Mixto 0

Novorizontino 3

Castanhal 0

Nova Iguacu 4

Manauara 0

Fortaleza 1

Sousa 0

CRB 2

Amazonas 0

Figueirense 1

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/32-finals

Sport Recife 1

Athletic Club 3

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 0

Confianca 1

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 0

Goias 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Sao Bernardo 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

EC Juventude 3

Aguia De Maraba 0

Portuguesa 2

Paysandu PA 3

TBD -

Vasco -

Londrina 0

Operario-PR 1

TBD -

Fluminense -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Jacuipense 1

Novorizontino 0

Nova Iguacu 0

Fortaleza 1

CRB 1

Figueirense 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

1/16-finals

Athletic Club 3

Internacional 5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0

Corinthians 2

Bragantino 2

Mirassol 3

Gremio 5

Confianca 0

Botafogo RJ 1

Chapecoense-SC 2

Goias 2

Cruzeiro 3

Atletico-MG 4

Ceara 3

Sao Paulo 2

EC Juventude 3

Paysandu PA 2

Vasco 4

Operario-PR 1

Fluminense 2

Athletico-PR 1

Atletico GO 0

Flamengo RJ 2

Vitoria 3

Palmeiras 7

Jacuipense 1

Fortaleza 2

CRB 1

Santos 2

Coritiba 0

Bahia 2

Remo 5

1/8-finals

Internacional 3

Corinthians 2

Mirassol 1

Gremio 2

Chapecoense-SC 0

Cruzeiro 2

Atletico-MG 1

EC Juventude 0

Vasco 3

Fluminense 1

Athletico-PR 2

Vitoria 4

Palmeiras 5

Fortaleza 3

Santos 1

Remo 0

Quarter-finals

Internacional -

Gremio -

Cruzeiro -

Atletico-MG -

Vasco -

Vitoria -

Palmeiras -

Santos -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

America MG vs Tirol

Brazil

America MG

Tirol

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

America MG Compare

Tirol Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

Tirol

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA