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America MG vs URT

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Artur
21' Event
Jesus P.
Assist: Eduardo Person
45'
John Everson

AI Match Summary

America MG in this Mineiro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
America MG
30%
Draws
34%
URT
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to URT lately — more wins on the board than America MG.
  • Win probability leans America MG's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • America MG have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
America MG Clean Sheet 16%
URT Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG URT
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Mineiro
America MG vs URT
1:0
Feb 19, 2022 Mineiro
URT vs America MG
0:0
Apr 25, 2021 Mineiro
URT vs America MG
0:5
Jul 30, 2020 Mineiro
URT vs America MG
0:3
Feb 9, 2019 Mineiro
America MG vs URT
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesus P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

URT Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 36 / 100
URT 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG URT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: URT has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

URT let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Ceara
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0
America MG
27 Jun
Operario-PR
1 : 0
America MG
Page 1 of 6

URT

(Away)
07 Mar
North Esporte Clube
1 : 0
URT
04 Mar
URT
1 : 2
North Esporte Clube
28 Feb
URT
3 : 1
Tombense
20 Feb
Tombense
0 : 1
URT
14 Feb
URT
1 : 2
Cruzeiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG835016:814
2URT83237:711
3Uberlandia82338:129
4Democrata GV82153:87
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America MG843110:615
2Pouso Alegre841314:1413
3Tombense833210:712
4Betim FC82336:99
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro850314:715
2North Esporte Clube832314:1111
3Itabirito821510:177
4Athletic Club81437:137
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)