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America Mineiro vs Ideal FC

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008
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AI Match Summary

America Mineiro play Ideal FC in the Campeonato Mineiro 2 2008. America Mineiro are favorites here. Recently, America Mineiro averaged 1.65 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Ideal FC averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, America Mineiro won 2, Ideal FC won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2008 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for America Mineiro and 0.93 for Ideal FC. This points to a America Mineiro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
America Mineiro
22%
Draws
12%
Ideal FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: America Mineiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America Mineiro picked up more points recently compared to Ideal FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
America Mineiro Clean Sheet 24%
Ideal FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America Mineiro Ideal FC
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 12 4
Draws 5 6
Losses 3 21
Goals Scored 1.65 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2008 Mineiro 2
America Mineiro vs Ideal FC
2:1
Feb 26, 2008 Mineiro 2
Ideal FC vs America Mineiro
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America Mineiro 64 / 100
Ideal FC 13 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America Mineiro Ideal FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America Mineiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick America Mineiro & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America Mineiro attacking → ← attacking Ideal FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America Mineiro scored in 75% of their last 20 games.

Ideal FC let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

America Mineiro went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ideal FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 18
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America Mineiro20125333:1441
2Uberlandia20106425:1236
3Caldense20112729:2035
4EC Itauna2087521:1531
5Araxa2069521:2127
6Pocos de Caldas20411522:2423
7URT20411528:2923
8Ideal FC20641021:2922
9Formiga EC20641017:2622
10Valeriodoce2048818:2120
11Uniao Luziense20431321:4515