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America PE vs Serrano PB

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2019
America PE Logo

America PE

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FT
Serrano PB Logo

Serrano PB

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2019 game between America PE and Serrano PB finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America PE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
America PE
20%
Draws
24%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America PE come out ahead of Serrano PB on wins alone.
  • America PE are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
America PE Clean Sheet 68%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America PE Serrano PB
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 21 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.13 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 Serie D
America PE vs Serrano PB
1:0
May 19, 2019 Serie D
Serrano PB vs America PE
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America PE 95 / 100
Serrano PB 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America PE Serrano PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America PE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America PE scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Serrano PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

America PE went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America PE VS Serrano PB
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America PE

(Home)
01 Nov
America PE
1 : 2
Academica Vitoria
26 Oct
America PE
2 : 1
Caruaru
12 Oct
Ipojuca
2 : 4
America PE
08 Oct
America PE
5 : 0
Centro Limoeirense
05 Oct
Belo Jardim
0 : 2
America PE
Page 1 of 7

Serrano PB

(Away)
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
15 Sept
Miramar EC
2 : 0
Serrano PB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo RR 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
2 Fast Clube 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
3 Barcelona RO 6 2 2 2 7:10 8
4 Rio Branco AC 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
Promotion - Serie D 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manaus FC 6 4 2 0 16:7 14
2 Real Ariquemes 6 3 2 1 9:9 11
3 Galvez 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
4 Santos AP 6 0 1 5 3:10 1
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moto Club 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
2 Sao Raimundo PA 6 4 1 1 12:7 13
3 Ypiranga AP 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
4 Atl. Roraima 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino PA 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
2 Floresta EC 6 2 3 1 11:7 9
3 River-PI 6 2 3 1 10:7 9
4 Santa Cruz de Natal 6 1 2 3 6:14 5
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cearense 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Central SC 6 3 0 3 10:7 9
3 AE Altos 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
4 Maranhao 6 1 0 5 10:16 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America RN 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 America PE 6 3 1 2 8:8 10
3 Bahia de Feira 6 3 1 2 12:5 7
4 Serrano PB 6 0 0 6 2:28 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacuipense 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 ASA 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
3 Campinense 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Academica Vitoria 6 0 0 6 3:16 0
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 6 3 3 0 8:4 12
2 Salgueiro 6 2 4 0 8:6 10
3 Sergipe 6 1 2 3 11:10 5
4 Coruripe 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabaiana 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Juazeirense 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Aparecidense 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
4 Interporto 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
5 Gurupi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipora 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
2 Sinop FC 6 2 3 1 7:8 9
3 Corumbaense 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Palmas 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Patrocinense 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 Anapolina 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Operario MS 6 1 2 3 6:9 5
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldense 6 5 1 0 7:1 16
2 Vitoria ES 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Portuguesa RJ 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Sobradinho 6 0 0 6 1:9 0
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League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 3 3 0 5:2 12
2 Ituano 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 URT 6 1 3 2 2:3 6
4 Serra 6 0 2 4 1:11 2
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League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 6 4 2 0 13:3 14
2 Hercilio Luz 6 3 0 3 5:6 9
3 Itaborai 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Tupi-MG 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
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League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
2 Boavista 6 5 0 1 9:5 15
3 SC Gaucho 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
4 Foz do Iguacu 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
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League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 6 4 1 1 5:3 13
2 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
3 Sao Caetano 6 1 2 3 7:7 5
4 Tubarao 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
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League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avenida 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
2 Ferroviaria 6 3 0 3 4:3 9
3 Maringa FC 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
4 Joinville 6 2 1 3 3:4 7
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