Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Kaue
86'
86'
GB
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: America RJ U20
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- America RJ U20 haven't matched Vasco U20's recent run of results.
- Model gives America RJ U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
- Vasco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America RJ U20 | Vasco U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
May 2, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America RJ U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaue
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Vasco U20 Compare
Top Goalscorer GB
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America RJ U20 47 / 100
Vasco U20 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America RJ U20 Vasco U20
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
America RJ U20's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Vasco U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
America RJ U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America RJ U20 VS Vasco U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
America RJ U20
(Home) 10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1 America RJ U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2 Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2 America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1 America RJ U20
Page 1 of 6
10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1 Vasco U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2 Bangu U20
28 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 2 Vasco U20
21 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 1 Cabofriense U20
18 Mar
America RJ U20
3 : 0 Madureira U20
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Vasco U20
(Away) 22 Jul
Santos U20
2 : 0 Vasco U20
14 Jul
Vasco U20
2 : 0 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
08 Jul
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1 : 0 Vasco U20
01 Jul
Fortaleza U20
1 : 1 Vasco U20
25 Jun
Vasco U20
1 : 2 Criciuma U20
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Santos U20
2 : 0 Vasco U20
08 Jul
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
1 : 0 Vasco U20
01 Jul
Fortaleza U20
1 : 1 Vasco U20
17 Jun
Bahia U20
1 : 1 Vasco U20
27 May
Avai U20
1 : 0 Vasco U20
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo RJ U20 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Vasco U20 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Marica U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Boavista U20 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 5 | America RJ U20 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Artsul U20 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 7 | Americano RJ U20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 8 | Bangu U20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Resende U20 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Fluminense U20 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Nova Iguacu U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Madureira U20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Volta Redonda U20 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 7 | Portuguesa RJ U20 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:13 | 5 |
| 8 | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)